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Reading: That latte or cappuccino might get costlier as espresso costs proceed to rise
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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > That latte or cappuccino might get costlier as espresso costs proceed to rise
Economy

That latte or cappuccino might get costlier as espresso costs proceed to rise

Editorial Board Published September 28, 2025
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That latte or cappuccino might get costlier as espresso costs proceed to rise
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Former Trump senior financial advisor Steve Moore discusses the Federal Reserve’s function within the U.S. economic system, the president’s tariffs and extra on ‘The Bottom Line.’

Individuals are paying extra for his or her espresso as costs for the caffeinated commodity are close to document ranges as a result of international manufacturing headwinds and better prices from imported espresso uncovered to tariffs.

The newest version of the buyer worth index (CPI) launched by the Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed that espresso costs had been up 20.9% from a 12 months in the past in August and rose 3.6% on a month-to-month foundation. That is the best annual worth achieve reported within the knowledge sequence since a 21.2% studying in July 2011, and topped the 20.3% studying in July 2022 amid the COVID inflation surge.

Costs for subgroups of espresso rose to the same diploma, with the BLS reporting that roasted espresso costs had been up 21.7% year-over-year and 4.1% on a month-to-month foundation in August, whereas the price of immediate espresso was up 20.1% from a 12 months in the past and 4.9% from the prior month.

The U.S. is closely reliant on imported espresso and lacks capability for large-scale home manufacturing, with lower than 1% of Individuals’ espresso produced in america. That leaves little alternative to extend the home provide at a time when costs have risen over the previous 12 months as a result of international manufacturing challenges that at the moment are being compounded by tariffs hitting imported espresso.

STARBUCKS CEO SAYS COFFEE CHAIN IS ‘AHEAD OF SCHEDULE’ IN MAJOR TURNAROUND EFFORT AFTER ONE YEAR

That latte or cappuccino might get costlier as espresso costs proceed to rise

Espresso costs have taken successful from tariffs in addition to international manufacturing challenges. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Photographs / Getty Photographs)

The Meals and Agriculture Group (FAO) of the United Nations famous that international espresso costs rose 38.8% in 2024 from the prior 12 months as a result of provide disruptions, together with inclement climate in Vietnam, Indonesia and Brazil inflicting costs to rise. Brazil and Vietnam account for about half of international espresso manufacturing, per the FAO.

Brazil is constant to expertise dry climate that would influence this 12 months’s espresso manufacturing, and it comes because the Trump administration has raised tariffs on espresso imports. The White Home imposed a flat 10% tariff on imports in April, which espresso was uncovered to, after which moved ahead with a 50% tariff on imports from Brazil on the finish of July.

Scott Lincicome, Cato Institute VP of normal economics and commerce, informed FOX Enterprise the 2 predominant elements driving the rise within the worth of espresso are these international manufacturing elements and tariffs. 

TRUMP TARIFFS HAUL OVER $200B IN REVENUES AS SUPREME COURT WEIGHS CHALLENGE TO LEGALITY

Three Coffee cups sitting on brown table

The U.S. imports practically all the espresso that Individuals devour. (iStock / iStock)

He mentioned, “If you look at what coffee prices have done over the last few months, they’ve definitely done a bit of a stair step – they spiked, and then they flattened a bit, and then they’ve gone up again. And it’s that second one where you’re really talking about a tariff effect.”

“That’s inevitable when you raise taxes on a product that simply can’t be made in the United States and for which there is what we call inelastic demand, meaning: I’m a coffee addict, there are a lot of coffee addicts, we are not going to reduce our consumption much if prices go up,” Lincicome defined. 

“When you have that situation, there is no need for global coffee growers to worry about whether they’re charging too much or whatever, they can just pass that on to the consumer and I think that appears to be what’s going on,” he added.

TRUMP GOES ALL-IN: TARIFFS UP TO 100% ON FOREIGN DRUGS, HEAVY TRUCKS AND HOME GOODS

Trump introducing tariffs

President Donald Trump unveiled “reciprocal” tariffs on U.S. buying and selling companions in April. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Photographs / Getty Photographs)

Lincicome famous the Trump administration just lately issued an govt order indicating that the U.S. could be keen to zero out tariffs on merchandise that the president determines aren’t out there within the U.S. in ample portions as a part of commerce agreements.

“The problem that you get into with blanket tariffs is that if you just apply tariffs indiscriminately, you end up catching a lot of products that it doesn’t make any sense to apply tariffs to those things. But there’s a problem you get into the minute you recognize that, then you have to start making exceptions and carveouts, and then people come to Washington and they claim more,” he defined.

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