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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > Uncertainty grows amongst still-optimistic small enterprise house owners, survey finds
Economy

Uncertainty grows amongst still-optimistic small enterprise house owners, survey finds

Editorial Board Published February 11, 2025
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Uncertainty grows amongst still-optimistic small enterprise house owners, survey finds
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Rep. Dan Meuser, R-Pa., weighs in on President Donald Trump’s financial agenda and its anticipated impact on ‘The Big Money Show.’

Uncertainty grew amongst American small enterprise house owners in January whereas optimism remained excessive, based on a brand new survey from the Nationwide Federation of Impartial Enterprise (NFIB). 

The group’s uncertainty index rose 14 factors to 100 final month, the third-highest recorded studying.

The Small Enterprise Optimism Index additionally took a slight dip. It stood at 102.8 as of January, based on the NFIB survey. 

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Whereas that represented a 2.3-point decline in optimism on a month-to-month foundation, it was nonetheless greater than the 51-year common of 98. The Small Enterprise Optimism Index hit a six-year excessive in December. 

In January, a seasonally adjusted internet 47% of small enterprise house owners harbored expectations for the financial system enhancing, based on the survey. That dropped 5 factors. 

In the meantime, 17% indicated they had been bullish about growth, saying now was a “good time” to take action “substantially,” based on the NFIB. 

“Overall, small business owners remain optimistic regarding future business conditions, but uncertainty is on the rise,” NFIB Chief Economist Invoice Dunkelberg mentioned in a press release. “Hiring challenges continue to frustrate Main Street owners as they struggle to find qualified workers to fill their many open positions. Meanwhile, fewer plan capital investments as they prepare for the months ahead.” 

Over one-third of small enterprise house owners mentioned they had been experiencing difficulties filling openings at their corporations in January, the survey confirmed. 

TRUMPONOMICS WILL TAME INFLATION – NOT MAKE IT WORSE

Greater than half of homeowners surveyed had been trying to carry new employees on board at their small companies in January. Lots of these – 90% – had been discovering “few or no qualified applicants,” the NFIB mentioned. 

'NOW HIRING' sign

A “Now Hiring” signal posted on the window of a enterprise trying to rent employees Could 5, 2023, in Miami, Fla. (Joe Raedle/Getty Photographs / Getty Photographs)

Labor high quality and inflation had been tied in January because the “single most important problem for business,” based on the NFIB. Eighteen p.c of small enterprise house owners cited both of these as their foremost challenge, with the share pointing to labor high quality posting a one-point drop from the prior month. 

Inflation measured by the Shopper Worth Index elevated 0.4% month over month and a couple of.9% yr over yr in December, based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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When it got here to capital outlays, a seasonally adjusted 22% of small enterprise house owners want to make investments within the coming six months, the NFIB additionally discovered. That share fell seven factors. 

About 58% reported capital outlays over the previous half yr, based on the survey.

TAGGED:AmongBusinessfindsgrowsownersSmallstilloptimisticsurveyuncertainty
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