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Reading: iPhone Value May Triple Because of Escalating US-China Tariff Conflict
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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > World > iPhone Value May Triple Because of Escalating US-China Tariff Conflict
World

iPhone Value May Triple Because of Escalating US-China Tariff Conflict

Editorial Board Published April 11, 2025
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iPhone Value May Triple Because of Escalating US-China Tariff Conflict
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The iPhone 16 Professional lineup has new colours and a totally recycled aluminum chassis for the primary time. Picture: Apple, Inc.

Apple is scrambling to determine an answer after President Donald Trump introduced sweeping new tariffs on Chinese language imports. Reciprocal tariffs for numerous nations have been set to take impact on April 9, however Trump granted a 90-day reprieve for many of them. Nevertheless, he imposed a 104% tariff on Chinese language items, later elevating it to 125% the identical day, with the rise taking impact instantly.

These tariffs are anticipated to considerably impression Apple, which manufactures most of its units in China, as do most different tech and AI firms. iPhones account for about half of Apple’s income, way over some other product. The iPhone is the most well-liked smartphone within the US, holding a market share of greater than 50%.

What’s going to an iPhone value with the brand new tariffs?

Nicely-known tech analyst Dan Ives advised CNN that these tariffs may create a “category 5 price storm” for private electronics, together with iPhones. He in contrast taxing Chinese language items at such excessive charges to  “flipping a boat upside down in the ocean with no life rafts” — that means that few tech firms, together with Apple, have viable manufacturing options exterior of China.

The alleged objective of the tariffs is to drive extra manufacturing again to the US, however Ives stated this may increase costs exponentially. He estimated a Chinese language-made machine that offered for about $1,000 would value $3,500 if made within the US, a value level that many shoppers could also be unable to afford. Shifting Apple’s provide chain to the US would additionally take years, making it an impractical short-term resolution for the corporate and for shoppers wanting to improve to the newest iPhone. Given these drawbacks, it’s unlikely Apple will swap its manufacturing to the US.

Because the tariff panorama continues to shift, estimating future iPhone costs stays tough. Nevertheless, an evaluation from UBS on Wednesday discovered that the reciprocal tariffs may improve the worth of the iPhone 16 Professional Max 256GB, which is made in China, by about $675, an increase of 56%. The iPhone 16 Professional Max is probably the most superior mannequin at the moment out there and options synthetic intelligence capabilities.

Should-read Apple protection

If Apple can transfer its manufacturing to India, which is at the moment excused from reciprocal tariffs, that would doubtlessly assist offset among the value improve. That very same evaluation from UBS discovered that the price of an iPhone 16 Professional 128 GB, prices $999 when made in India, may improve to $1,119, a extra modest rise of 12%.

Given these drawbacks, it’s unlikely Apple will swap its manufacturing to the US, although persevering with manufacturing in China could also be too expensive for the corporate or shoppers to bear.

TAGGED:dueescalatingIphonepricetarifftripleUSChinawar
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