There’s nothing fairly just like the pairing of Thanksgiving and the NFL. It’s truthfully one among my favourite holidays for the straightforward reality that every one we’ve to do is sit again, watch soccer, and stuff our faces with turkey, gravy, and the remainder of the fixings. Sprinkle a little bit playing on high of all that, and we’ve bought ourselves a pleasant little vacation on our arms.
And that leads us to what we’re grateful for at the moment of the 12 months. Personally, I’m grateful that my locks of the week have began to spherical into kind as we head down the stretch run. Since Week 9, I’ve gone 13-7 ATS with my 5 locks of the week, which features a 3-2 file final week. I’ll look to maintain that optimistic streak transferring as we gear up for a marathon of soccer the place the NFL can be on 4 instances over a five-day stretch.
Glad Thanksgiving to you and yours!
NFL odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Guess NFL at FanDuel and get $150 in bonus bets with a profitable $5 wager.
2025 file
Locks of the Week ATS: 33-27-0ATS: 79-99-0ML: 111-66-1
I believe this is a chance for the Texans to slam on the panic button surrounding the Colts. Houston’s protection is enjoying in addition to any unit within the NFL proper now. They rank first within the NFL in whole yards per sport allowed (264.3) and passer score allowed (72.2), together with rating second in factors per sport allowed (16.5). In the meantime, Daniel Jones hasn’t been as lights out as he was to start the season. Over his final three begins, Jones has an 83.0 passer score with 5 whole touchdowns and 7 turnovers in comparison with the 109.5 passer score, 17 whole touchdowns, and three turnovers within the eight video games earlier than that. That is the kind of protection that may spotlight the latest lull from Jones. Whereas I believe Indy can discover a option to pull this out at dwelling, it’ll be throughout the quantity, and we’ll be asking a whole lot of questions on this group’s ceiling popping out of the competition.
Projected rating: Colts 24, Texans 20The choose: Texans +4.5
The Raiders are in a foul approach, falling to 2-9 on the season final week following a loss to the Browns, which led to the firing of offensive coordinator Chip Kelly. It’s doable that this transfer supplies a momentary enhance for the unit on this divisional matchup, however this choose has extra to do with questions surrounding the Chargers than the rest. Let’s not overlook that this group got here out terribly flat in a 35-6 loss to the Jaguars earlier than the Week 12 bye. Whereas they’ll be well-rested for this sport, it doesn’t essentially imply Justin Herbert can be higher protected. They’re nonetheless with out beginning left sort out Joe Alt for the 12 months, and Herbert’s numbers have dipped in his absence. With out Alt, Herbert is averaging 6.4 yards per try and has eight touchdowns with six interceptions in comparison with the 8.3 yards per try common, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions with him. Las Vegas has a cross rusher led by Maxx Crosby who can proceed to offer Herbert matches, so this stays inside a double-digit sport.
Projected rating: Chargers 23, Raiders 17The choose: Raiders +9.5
Prisco’s Week 13 NFL picks: Jordan Love leads Packers over Lions, Chiefs high Cowboys in high-scoring sport
Pete Prisco
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC | Fubo, strive without spending a dime)
One thing simply feels off with the Baltimore Ravens. Sure, they’ve gained 5 straight after starting the 12 months 1-5 and are actually atop the AFC North standings, however they appear a bit disjointed in latest weeks. Particularly, Lamar Jackson hasn’t been as prolific as we’ve grown accustomed to, tallying zero touchdowns and two giveaways during the last two weeks. Whereas Cincinnati’s protection is likely one of the worst items within the NFL this season, they performed the Patriots nicely final week, offering a glimmer of hope that they are often one thing near serviceable down the stretch. If they supply some resistance, that’ll assist Joe Burrow immensely as he makes his return to motion for the primary time since struggling his turf toe damage. With Ja’Marr Chase again within the fold as nicely, the Bengals have an offense that may hold this divisional matchup shut. In his profession, Burrow is 17-3 ATS as an underdog of three or extra factors.
Projected rating: Ravens 27, Bengals 21The choose: Bengals +7
If it have been as much as Brock Purdy, the 49ers would’ve misplaced in Week 12. The 49ers quarterback tossed three first-half interceptions towards the Panthers on Monday evening, however was bailed out by his protection that allowed simply three factors off these turnovers en path to a win. And Purdy’s struggles transcend simply this sport as he’s thrown seven interceptions in 4 begins this season general. Now, he’s requested to shake that off towards a Browns protection that has been totally dominant this season and is coming off a 10-sack efficiency in Week 12 towards the Raiders. On the 12 months, the unit is high three within the league in yards per sport allowed (273.0), passing yards per sport allowed (170.7), sacks (42), and third-down effectivity (34.5% opponent conversion price). If Cleveland continues to play at that degree, Purdy’s points may persist and hold the Browns inside vary of an upset.
Projected rating: 49ers 23, Browns 20The choose: Browns +6
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN | Fubo, strive without spending a dime)
The Patriots enter Week 13 atop the AFC because the No. 1 seed within the convention and the primary membership to achieve 10 wins on the 12 months. Whereas they have been in a position to notch a ninth straight win over the Bengals final week, it got here at a price. The complete left facet of their offensive line went down as a result of damage, and each left sort out Will Campbell and left guard Jared Wilson are anticipated to overlook time, together with Monday’s contest. One of many strengths of New York this season has been its entrance, which is headlined by Brian Burns (13 sacks). With reserves set to man Drake Maye’s blindside, there’s a chance for Burns, Abdul Carter, and others to tee off and throw the Patriots offense off the observe. If they’ll try this, it’ll assist whoever is below middle for them (Jameis Winston or Jaxson Dart) keep throughout the unfold.
Projected rating: Patriots 24, Giants 17The choose: Giants +7.5
Remainder of the bunch
Packers at Lions (Thursday)Projected rating: Lions 27, Packers 24The choose: Lions -2.5
Chiefs at Cowboys (Thursday)Projected rating: Chiefs 27, Cowboys 23The choose: Chiefs -3
Bears at Eagles (Friday)Projected rating: Bears 24, Eagles 21The choose: Bears +7
Jaguars at TitansProjected rating: Jaguars 27, Titans 17The choose: Jaguars -6.5
Saints at DolphinsProjected rating: Dolphins 28, Saints 20The choose: Dolphins -6
Falcons at JetsProjected rating: Falcons 24, Jets 17The choose: Falcons -2.5
Cardinals at BuccaneersProjected rating: Cardinals 24, Buccaneers 21The choose: Cardinals +3
Rams at PanthersProjected rating: Rams 30, Panthers 17The choose: Rams -10.5
Vikings at SeahawksProjected rating: Seahawks 27, Vikings 14The choose: Seahawks -10.5
Payments at SteelersProjected rating: Payments 30, Steelers 21The choose: Payments -3.5
Broncos at CommandersProjected rating: Broncos 27, Commanders 20The choose: Broncos -6.5
