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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > Will the dockworkers’ strike trigger increased meals costs? Consultants weigh in
Economy

Will the dockworkers’ strike trigger increased meals costs? Consultants weigh in

Editorial Board Published October 1, 2024
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Will the dockworkers’ strike trigger increased meals costs? Consultants weigh in
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Sq. 1 Farmers proprietor Tim Ryan and Tim Ryan Jr., his son and VP of gross sales, clarify their preparation for provide chain points forward of the port strikes and focus on the have an effect on on companies and customers.

Unionized dockworkers at East Coast and Gulf Coast ports started a strike Monday that can have an effect on the stream of products by means of ports that deal with about half of seaborne commerce to the U.S. and will have an effect on meals costs.

Ports affected by the Worldwide Longshoremen’s Affiliation strike are key hubs for meals imports from locations like South America and Central America. For instance, about two-thirds of bananas arrive at East Coast and Gulf Coast ports.

The U.S. Division of Agriculture (USDA) launched a press release Tuesday saying it would not anticipate meals costs will likely be considerably affected by the port strike within the close to time period. 

“Our analysis shows we should not expect significant changes to food prices or availability in the near term,” the USDA stated. “Due to the usually clean motion by means of the ports of products, and our sturdy home agricultural manufacturing, we don’t count on shortages anytime within the close to future for many objects. Likewise, non-containerized bulk export shipments, together with grains, can be unaffected by this strike.

DOCKWORKERS GO ON STRIKE AT EAST AND GULF COAST PORTS

The USDA has stated it would not see the port strike affecting most meals costs within the close to time period. (Elijah Nouvelage/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

“For meat and poultry objects which are exported by means of East Coast and Gulf Coast ports, out there cupboard space and redirection of merchandise to different home and worldwide markets can alleviate a number of the strain on farmers and meals processors. 

“We are keeping an eye on downstream impacts in the west, and we will continue to monitor and work with industry to respond to potential impacts.”

PORT STRIKE: CAN WEST COAST PORTS ABSORB EAST AND GULF COAST IMPORT VOLUMES?

Port strike dockworkers

The Port of Wilmington is a key hub for receiving fruit imports, like bananas owned by Chiquita. (Hannah Beier/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

Alexander Discipline, an economics professor at Santa Clara College’s Leavey Faculty of Enterprise, advised FOX Enterprise perishable meals objects can be among the many delicate classes of merchandise to worth will increase or shortages because of the strike.

“If there is an impact … it will be on perishables, perishable food — that being the immediate one as opposed to some of the other categories such as cars and trucks, machinery, furniture, clothes, etc.,” Discipline stated.

 “But if the strike endures, that can happen, and that will produce shortages. The shortages will produce upward pressure on prices, which means the inflation rate rises. And if it continues, it has the potential to push up the unemployment rate and slow the growth of GDP.”

WHAT PRODUCTS WOULD BE DISRUPTED BY A PORT STRIKE?

photo of docks

ILA dockworkers from Maine to Texas started a strike Tuesday throughout an deadlock in negotiations. (Jesus Olarte/Anadolu by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

Volodymyr Babich, professor of operations and analytics at Georgetown College’s McDonough Faculty of Enterprise, advised FOX Enterprise, “Retailers typically hold inventory that can help them manage short-term disruptions. However, most do not have sufficient stock to meet demand for an extended period, especially over several weeks. This is particularly true for perishable items, such as bananas, which have a limited shelf life.”

Babich added that whereas companies can look to reroute shipments or use different means, corresponding to air freight, there are additionally “significant risks” to provide chains.

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“A prolonged disruption at U.S. ports, both due to the strike and the congestion that will follow, could send shockwaves through global supply chains. We may see opportunistic price increases by some retailers, panic buying and hoarding by both businesses and consumers, even for products that are not directly impacted by the strike,” Babich stated.

TAGGED:dockworkersexpertsFoodhigherpricesstrikeweigh
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