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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > US sawmills warn of accelerating closures as tariffs, weak demand squeeze business
Economy

US sawmills warn of accelerating closures as tariffs, weak demand squeeze business

Editorial Board Published December 4, 2025
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US sawmills warn of accelerating closures as tariffs, weak demand squeeze business
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A rising variety of U.S. sawmills are shutting their doorways for good. Hardwood business leaders are blaming years of tense commerce talks with China for misplaced enterprise.

MANCHESTER, Tenn. – A number of US sawmills are struggling to remain open after business leaders stated years of commerce uncertainty have drained export markets and tightened margins.

The Hardwood Federation estimates at the least one sawmill goes out of enterprise each week. Moreover, the Nationwide Hardwood Lumber Affiliation (NHLA) reported that greater than 4% of U.S. sawmills have been misplaced as a consequence of closures and consolidations. 

The tools from these sawmills results in a rising pile of public sale fliers on Johnny Evans’ desk on the Evans Lumber Co. in Manchester, Tennessee. 

Nevertheless, Evans is determined to avoid wasting his sawmill from being auctioned off as a consequence of ongoing commerce talks. Evans shut his sawmill down the week of Thanksgiving as a result of he wasn’t getting sufficient lumber orders to maintain it open. He used the week to make repairs to his tools, which he stated was nice, but it surely does not pay the payments.

“It’s deathly quiet around here,” Evans stated. “Usually we run, at least three days a week. That’s not just here. It’s a lot of our other customers. They’ve chosen not to receive lumber from us this week.”

US sawmills warn of accelerating closures as tariffs, weak demand squeeze business

Evans stated quite a lot of this goes again to commerce tensions that started in 2018, throughout the first Trump Administration. That is when some international locations, like China, stopped shopping for American hardwood in retaliation to President Donald Trump’s tariff insurance policies. 

TARIFFS HAVE A SURPRISING EFFECT ON UNEMPLOYMENT AND INFLATION PATTERNS, FED ANALYSIS REVEALS

On the time, the Hardwood Federation reported American lumber was the second-most exported U.S. product to China. When China retaliated, the American lumber exporters misplaced roughly half their market share to rivals in locations like Russia, Thailand and Malaysia. 

Evans stated the present commerce negotiations between the U.S. and China are intensifying stress that started years in the past. 

“The Vietnamese told us that if until America buys their product, they won’t buy our product,” Evans stated. “Our sales are down, our lumber prices are down, but our expenses are twice as high as what they used to be.”

The NHLA stated retaliatory tariffs from different international locations stay “volatile,” making a ripple impact that influences world hardwood flows by “tightening margins, shifting production hubs, and altering supply chain dynamics across Asia, Europe, and the Americas.”

“During the 2017 trade dispute, the hardwood industry experienced significant difficulties, including a 20-25% export decline,” Dallin Brooks, NHLA Govt Director, stated. “Several companies were forced to shut down, and many others struggled to recover. This year is worse.”

In September, President Trump positioned a ten% tariff on lumber and a 25% tariff on furnishings and cupboards. Two weeks later, greater than 450 U.S. sawmills signed a letter penned by the Hardwood Federation, pleading with the U.S. Division of Agriculture and the White Home for aid. The letter outlined the hardwood business’s want for the Trump Administration to prioritize them throughout upcoming commerce negotiations with China. 

“We were a victim of retaliation,” Dana Lee Cole, Hardwood Federation Govt Director, stated. “If enough of their products are getting tariffs coming in here and their markets are declining here, they’re going to fight back.”

Sawmills struggle during trade negotiations

Many sawmills are dealing with one other problem as customers flip to cheaper composite or artificial wooden look-alike merchandise, usually marketed as “luxury” alternate options.

“The two things have come together in a kind of perfect storm to really put a lot of stressors on the industry,” Cole stated. 

TRUMP’S RECORD TARIFF HAUL MEETS SUPREME COURT REVIEW AS WHITE HOUSE BRACES FOR RULING

Claire Getty stated her household’s sawmill in Huntland, Tennessee, has struggled to compete with big-box shops that promote vinyl or plastic flooring as premium merchandise.

“If you’re going to go and look for a floor, say, at a big box store, you’re going to find over 200 wood-looking options in a luxury vinyl plank, four to five in a solid hardwood product, Getty said. “I actually imagine that individuals at this time, customers at this time need wooden, however it isn’t obtainable.”

U.S. sawmills struggle to compete with big box stores

Getty stated the shift to ‘luxury’ wooden alternate options has prompted main losses that ripple from sawmills to tree farmers.

“We’re an business that is price saving,” Getty stated. 

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A number of sawmill house owners are planning an annual journey to Washington D.C. early subsequent yr to ask their representatives and the Trump Administration instantly for assist.

TAGGED:acceleratingclosuresdemandIndustrysawmillsSqueezetariffswarnweak
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