Why the polling ‘is off’: Sean Duffy
‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-hosts talk about former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris hitting the marketing campaign path within the closing weeks earlier than the November election.
When the ballot, performed Oct. 4-8, requested respondents who they’d select, Trump and Harris every earned 48% in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup.
When third-party figures have been included within the combine, the general consequence was 47% help for Trump versus 46% for Harris.
TRUMP TAKES LEAD IN 6 OUT OF 7 BATTLEGROUND STATES IN RECENT POLLING
Particularly, 42% indicated that they’d positively help the Republican presidential ticket, whereas one other 42% stated they’d positively choose the Democratic ticket. Moreover, 4% indicated that they’d in all probability vote for the GOP ticket whereas 3% famous they’d in all probability vote for the Democratic ticket. And 1% leaned towards the Democratic ticket whereas one other 1% leaned towards the Republican ticket.
The competition could be very shut at the same time as Election Day, which is on Nov. 5, 2024, attracts close to.
IF 2024 POLLING ERRORS MIRROR THOSE IN 2020 ELECTION, TRUMP ‘WINS IN A BLOWOUT’, WARNS CNN DATA GURU
Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks at a marketing campaign rally on the Calhoun Ranch on Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024, in Coachella, California. (AP Picture/Alex Gallardo)
The ballot outcomes additionally mirror a deep divide concerning folks’s most popular consequence for the upcoming congressional elections, with 47% preferring a Republican-controlled Congress and 47% preferring a Democrat-controlled Congress.
SAME POLL TAKEN ONE MONTH APART SHOWS WHICH PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE HAS MOMENTUM IN KEY STATES
Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks throughout a church service at Koinonia Christian Middle in Greenville, N.C., on Sunday, Oct. 13, 2024. (AP Picture/Susan Walsh)
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The survey notes that, “[t]he margin of error for 1,000 interviews among registered voters is ±3.10%.”
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