Texas Earthquakes Prompt New Fracking Rules

Most of the earthquakes have been relatively mild so far and have caused limited property damage. The rising number of earthquakes has led the Texas Railroad Commission, which regulates the oil industry, to shut or sharply reduce the capacity of scores of so-called disposal wells to protect nearby communities.

The wells are used by large oil companies including Chevron Corp. CVX 1.70% , ConocoPhillips COP 3.73% and Coterra Energy Inc. CTRA 1.65% to inject wastewater into geologic formations. The limitations have left Permian Basin drillers to find other ways to transport wastewater, including high-cost trucking.

Trucking the water to disposal wells elsewhere is about five times the cost of using pipelines, according to shale executives and analysts. Some companies said they can avoid trucking by sending water through a network of pipelines to regions unaffected by seismic activity. The added expenses come as frackers are already facing higher costs from labor and supplies.

Permian producers’ collective annual cost to jettison that water could increase, conservatively, by more than $200 million if they have to truck it all out, according to market intelligence firm Sourcenergy. If companies are unable to find new means of disposal, they may have to curtail tens of thousands of barrels a day of oil production.

The setback could also limit some producers’ ability to increase output in response to the highest oil prices in years. Many that are forced to truck water elsewhere will likely have to shift drilling rigs away from the areas where the Railroad Commission concentrated its cutbacks, executives said.

“If you’re forced to truck it, it’s going to have a devastating impact on your lease operating expenses,” said Richard Jennings, president of private West Texas oil producer Atlantic Operating II LLC, which says it operates shallow disposal wells unaffected by the restrictions.

In 2020, the latest year for which data is available, oil producers pumped about 342 million barrels of water into the saltwater disposal wells that the Railroad Commission began restricting last fall. The regulator acted after a sharp uptick in earthquakes, including near populated areas like Midland and Odessa.

The number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 3.0 or larger in the Texas portion of the Permian rose to 176 last year, up from 51 in 2020 and nine in 2019, according to Sourcenergy, which analyzed state seismic activity data.

U.S. seismologists have linked seismic activity to wastewater disposal in oil fields. In Oklahoma a few years ago, regulators moved to limit injections in some areas following a rise in earthquakes that damaged buildings and caused injuries.

The large volumes of injected water can increase pore pressure in certain geologic formations, and if faults run through those formations, the pressure pushing against them can cause seismic events, scientists say.

The Railroad Commission in September curtailed the amount of water companies were permitted to inject into some wells near Midland and Odessa, and has since suspended some permits there and expanded the restrictions to other areas. It has said the suspensions are in effect until further notice.

The water that companies injected in 2020 into now-restricted wells would have exceeded the new limits by about 104 million barrels, according to Sourcenergy. It said the amount of water companies injected in those wells in 2021 was likely much higher as drillers brought new wells online.

If Chevron had to truck all of its excess water in 2020, it would have raised costs by $53 million a year, Sourcenergy estimates. For Coterra, the company formed by the combination of Cimarex Energy Inc. and Cabot Oil & Gas Corp., trucking all its excess water would have raised costs by $63.5 million.

Some companies said they could avoid trucking water by recycling it, pumping it through extensive pipeline networks or other means.

Coterra said it is working to increase options for wastewater, including recycling and reusing it, and creating new disposal wells. Chevron spokeswoman Deena McMullen said the company has options to move water elsewhere through its existing pipelines or agreements with other companies to use their pipeline space and it is reviewing other alternatives to trucks.

Increasing Tremors

Earthquakes with a magnitude of 3.0 or above jumped from 9 in 2019 to 176 in 2021. Industry regulators are working to mitigate seismic activity in some areas.

Permian Basin Earthquakes

Even so, there are questions about how far pipelines can carry the excess water, and whether those systems have the capacity to absorb the disrupted flow, analysts said.

“You just can’t truck a significant volume of water and make any money. It eats up all your revenue,” said Jim Wilkes, president of private oil producer Texland Petroleum LP.

Permian oil wells can produce anywhere from 1,000 to 5,000 barrels of water a day. Trucking that water away isn’t a sustainable option for any company, executives said, as it costs about $2.50 a barrel, compared with about 50 cents a barrel on a pipeline.

Executives said they expect the Railroad Commission will expand its restrictions to other areas hit by numerous earthquakes.

For oil producers, costs have already jumped higher, driven by supply-chain shortfalls, the rising cost of steel and a constrained labor pool. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas’s fourth-quarter survey of oil executives showed record-high readings for indexes of oil-field costs, in data going back five years.

About 60% of oil-field service companies in the survey said they expected their prices would rise 10% or more this year.

“Our costs are going out of sight,” said Gary Bolen, owner of private West Texas producer Pharaoh Oil & Gas Inc. “It seems like you’re making some money, but you start getting kicked in the face in some other ways.”

Write to Collin Eaton at [email protected]