New Wall Avenue Journal polling of seven battleground states exhibits a race too near name nearly all over the place — however with benefits for Republican Donald Trump on the election’s key points.
Total, the previous president tops Kamala Harris 46% to 45%. And in all of the states however one, the race is a real leap ball within the estimation of pollsters GBAO and Fabrizio Lee, Democratic and Republican corporations respectively.
Whereas the vice chairman leads on multi-candidate ballots in Arizona and Michigan (47% to 45% in each), in addition to Georgia and Wisconsin (46% to 45% in each), Trump has a slim edge in Nevada (47% to 42%), North Carolina and Pennsylvania (46% to 45% in each) amongst 600 registered voters in every state polled between Sept. 28 and Oct. 8.
Harris has seen beneficial properties on President Biden’s numbers in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.
However voters solidly desire Trump on a number of questions on what the candidates carry to the desk, together with expertise, the place even states not leaning to him general see him because the extra seasoned selection.
The border disaster — seen right here in California — is swing-state voters’ second-top concern. James Breeden for the New York Publish
On “who is best able to handle” unlawful immigration — which voters say is their second-top concern — respondents give the ex-prez a 16-point lead (52% to 36%).
In Nevada, Trump’s up a staggering 25 factors on this query, however he’s forward in each state right here.
Trump is +10 on the financial system, with 50% of swing-state voters seeing him as the higher guess than Harris on their No. 1 election situation.
That pattern carries all over the place, together with his largest leads being +12 in Georgia and +11 in Pennsylvania.
He’s additionally up 11 factors (50% to 39%) over Harris relating to who’s trusted to tamp down inflation, and nowhere on the map is that this extra placing than Nevada, the place 53% of voters say he’s the higher guess to decrease the excessive value of residing; Harris is at an anemic 35%.
The financial system, with its rampant inflation, is the No. 1 election situation for battleground voters. AFP through Getty Photos
Trump can be forward by double digits (50% to 39%) on who’s most trusted to discover a decision to Russia’s conflict on Ukraine, and that consensus holds throughout all seven states, full with Trump being +15 in Arizona. The previous president has vowed he may resolve the conflict earlier than he’s even sworn again into workplace.
He has an excellent larger lead on resolving the Israeli conflict with Hamas, 48% to 33%. That benefit holds all over the place, however in no state is Harris much less trusted on this situation than North Carolina, the place 29% of voters assume she will settle the problem the Biden administration has let blow up right into a regional conflict.
By 48% to 42%, swing-state voters belief what Trump brings to the job greater than what Harris would. Paradoxically given the slight lean in these two states to the veep, Trump is up by 11 factors on this metric in Georgia and eight in Arizona, his largest leads on the query of who has the previous efficiency to be trusted with the presidency.
Trump is seen because the change agent within the election general, 45% to 42%, carrying 5 of the seven states on this query. His finest efficiency: He’s +8 over Harris in Nevada.
Trump additionally will get larger marks than Harris relating to his imaginative and prescient for the long run, 44% to 43%. On this, he’s +10 in Nevada, which is the most important lead in any state within the pattern on this query.
On who “cares about people like you,” Harris is up 6 factors on Trump — however they’re principally tied on who “stands up for the American work.”
By 6 factors, extra voters say Harris “cares about people like you” than say so of Trump. The 2 are primarily tied when voters are requested which one will get up for American employees.
The margin of error is +/-1.5 factors for the complete ballot and 4 for every state.
