Stocks dropped Thursday as bond yields rose in the wake of data showing inflation reached a new four-decade high, raising the stakes on whether the Federal Reserve will plot a more aggressive path on interest rates.
The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite all fell at least 1.4%, while the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note breached 2% for the first time since 2019.
The moves followed new data showing inflation had accelerated to a 7.5% annual rate in January, topping economists’ forecasts and December’s 7% pace. The indexes briefly recouped most of their losses before sliding again, with the worst of the pullback coming after remarks from a Fed official who signaled the central bank may move more drastically to curtail inflation.
The data and comments injected fresh uncertainty into a market that had shown some signs of stabilizing. Entering Thursday’s session, the S&P 500 had risen seven of the previous nine trading days. Money managers say they are bracing for more volatility as investors assess the likelihood of whether the Federal Reserve will step up efforts to contain inflation.
“This trend is worrisome for equity markets as it could mean a more aggressive Fed policy response, and that concern will typically pressure equity markets,” said Matt Peron, director of research at Janus Henderson Investors. “We caution that markets could remain choppy for the coming months until either inflation stabilizes or the market is comfortable that the Fed is doing enough, but not too much.”
James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, suggested the Fed may be willing to make a big move, confirming investors’ anxieties. In an interview with Bloomberg News, Mr. Bullard said he would like to see rates up 1% by July 1, adding that he was “already more hawkish, but I have pulled up dramatically what I think the committee should do.”
Major stock benchmarks turned sharply lower following the comment, closing in the red. The S&P 500 fell 83.10 points, or 1.8%, to 4504.08, its first drop in three days. The Dow industrials shed 526.47 points, or 1.5%, to 35241.59. Technology stocks were hit harder, with the Nasdaq sliding 304.73 points, or 2.1%, to 14185.64.
All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 closed in the red. Shares of fast-growing companies were hit hardest. Tech stocks in the S&P 500 dropped 2.8%, with software, IT services and semiconductor companies all mostly falling. Qualcomm, Advanced Micro Devices and Adobe fell more than 5% each, while Apple shed $4.16, or 2.4%, to $172.12.
Meanwhile, Twitter shares retreated 75 cents, or 2%, to $37.08 after the social-media company said it had largely dodged the effect of privacy changes hurting Facebook parent Meta Platforms, falling alongside most other tech stocks. Uber Technologies slipped $2.44, or 6.1%, to $37.75 after the ride-hailing firm said quarterly revenue climbed 83%.
Other laggards included PepsiCo, which fell $3.57, or 2.1%, to $168.37 after raising its dividend and setting a $10 billion stock-buyback program. PepsiCo also added to the worrying outlook for inflation after the drink maker’s chief financial officer, Hugh Johnston, said cost pressures could continue into 2023.
Among the few bright spots, Walt Disney shares added $4.93, or 3.3%, to $152.16 after it reported 11.8 million new subscribers for its Disney+ streaming service in the fourth quarter. Twilio rose $3.90, or 1.9%, to $205.91 after the software company said revenue and profits topped analysts’ forecasts. Mattel also topped forecasts, sending shares of the toy maker up $1.74, or 7.6%, to $24.49.
Jay Hatfield, portfolio manager of the InfraCap Equity Income ETF, said he expects the stock market to stabilize once 10-year Treasury yields find a bottom, eventually settling in somewhere around 2%.
Mr. Peron, for his part, expects the stock market will only stabilize in the second half of the year. “The margin of error for the Fed is getting smaller,” he added.
Overseas, stock markets were mixed. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.2%. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 added 0.4% and the Shanghai Composite ticked up 0.2%. In Hong Kong, China Evergrande shares rose 5.4% after reports that the embattled property company plans to restore construction and sales activity, while refraining from a fire sale of its assets.
Investors say rapid gains in consumer prices could inject more volatility into stock and bond markets.
Photo: justin lane/Shutterstock
Write to Joe Wallace at [email protected]
Corrections & Amplifications
Inflation accelerated to a 7.5% annual rate in January, topping December’s 7% pace. An earlier version of this article incorrectly said inflation stood at 7.2% in December. (Corrected on Feb 10.)
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