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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > Port strike: Can West Coast ports take up East and Gulf Coast import volumes?
Economy

Port strike: Can West Coast ports take up East and Gulf Coast import volumes?

Editorial Board Published September 30, 2024
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Port strike: Can West Coast ports take up East and Gulf Coast import volumes?
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Port of Los Angeles government director Gene Seroka discusses the important thing problems with the upcoming ports strike on Cavuto: Coast to Coast.

A possible strike by unionized dockworkers might start Tuesday at East and Gulf Coast ports, elevating questions on whether or not West Coast ports are a viable various vacation spot for unloading cargoes.

The Worldwide Longshoremen’s Affiliation (ILA), which represents 45,000 dockworkers, and the U.S. Maritime Alliance (USMX) that represents port employers are at an deadlock in negotiations over the union’s calls for for compensation and safety from automation. The union’s present six-year contract expires Monday night time, elevating the prospect of the ILA’s first strike since 1977.

With time dwindling for the 2 sides to succeed in an settlement that avoids a piece stoppage, the potential for a strike by dockworkers at 36 East and Gulf Coast seaports might put about half of the nation’s import quantity at a standstill — elevating questions on whether or not shipments will be diverted to the West Coast.

Douglas Kent, EVP of company and strategic alliances on the Affiliation for Provide Chain Administration (ASCM), instructed FOX Enterprise in an interview that whereas it is sensible to contemplate various locations to mitigate danger, “The West Coast ports can’t handle an additional 50% of goods coming through there.”

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Dockworkers with the ILA might go on strike if a final minute deal is not reached by midnight on Sept. 30. (Sam Wolfe/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

“We have severe passage constraints through the Panama Canal because of the drought, so even that isn’t always the answer,” Kent mentioned. “That’s an additional week-plus shipment, assuming that there’s no backlog on the other side. So the cost associated with the re-routing of a shipment is also not to be underestimated.”

Kent defined that as a result of East and Gulf Coast ports deal with extra shipments to and from Europe, whereas West Coast ports deal with many of the commerce with Asia, there are capability and price concerns that issue into choices about re-routing shipments.

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Shipping containers and cranes at the Port of Savannah in Savannah, Georgia, US, on Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023. The US economy has been looking so solid lately that Federal Reserve officials will probably need to double their projection for growth in 2023 when they publish an updated outlook later this month. Photographer: Elijah Nouvelage/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Port of Savannah is among the many ports that would expertise a stoppage. (Elijah Nouvelage/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

“I don’t think we’re going to see a lot of re-routing. I do think that the ports on the West Coast are preparing for some increase in volume associated with that. But their ability to absorb nearly 50% of the import volume is not even a remote possibility,” Kent mentioned. 

“What they don’t want to do is also inadvertently cause the strain on their own operation,” he defined. “So I think you’ve got to also play that factor in mind in terms of any potential re-routing. They’ll accept an acceptable volume that doesn’t overstress their existing capabilities and upset their existing customer base because their customers that have been loyal to them and routing through them, they don’t want to disrupt that.”

PORT EMPLOYERS FILE LABOR COMPLAINT AGAINST DOCKWORKERS SEEKING TO RESUME NEGOTIATIONS AS STRIKE LOOMS

Baltimore port dockworkers

The Port of Baltimore is the most important hub for automotive shipments. (Jim Watson/AFP by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

Port of Los Angeles Government Director Gene Seroka mentioned in an interview on FOX Enterprise Community’s “Cavuto: Coast to Coast” that “very few people win when it comes to situations like this. These workers have to get paid. The companies must continue to reinvest and bring cargo in, which creates jobs from Maine to Texas for this great union and their employers association.”

Host Neil Cavuto requested Seroka concerning the timing of the potential port strike prematurely of the vacation season on buyers’ skill to entry in-demand merchandise.

“The timing couldn’t be any worse,” Seroka mentioned. “We’re on the doorstep of the retail holiday season. And set aside the big box retailers for just a second, who had the wherewithal to advance cargo and bring it in through other ports and get their inventory set up. It’s that small- to medium-sized business that I’m concerned with. Typically, they run these last 12 weeks before the holiday to make payroll and keep their businesses viable, that’s what’s at risk right now.”

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The Port of Miami is among the many seaports that would see a piece stoppage. (Joe Raedle/Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

West Coast ports like Los Angeles, Lengthy Seashore, Oakland and Seattle-Tacoma are the most important seaports that might be locations for re-routed shipments. Port operators aren’t anticipating a major influence.

“We anticipate little to no impact on Port of Oakland cargo operations should there be an East Coast dockworker strike,” a spokesperson for the Port of Oakland instructed FOX Enterprise.

Port of Lengthy Seashore CEO Mario Cordero instructed FOX Enterprise in an announcement that the port is “fluidly processing record volumes of cargo” and that the port is able to reply if wanted ought to the dockworkers strike proceed at East and Gulf Coast ports.

“We hope for a timely and mutually beneficial resolution for the contract covering the East and Gulf Coasts. However, should the need arise, we will depend on the close relationships we have developed with our partners in industry and labor to work to keep the supply chain moving, and the U.S. economy functioning,” Cordero mentioned. “We are prepared to activate our Business Recovery Task Force for the duration in the event of any disruption of cargo movement in this region as a result of work stoppages elsewhere.”

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The potential port strike might value the U.S. financial system upwards of $5 billion per day, as a J.P. Morgan evaluation estimated a variety between $3.8 billion and $4.5 billion a day. A few of that will be recovered after the tip of the strike and ports recovered to regular operations over time.

The 36 East and Gulf Coast ports that might be impacted by the strike collectively deal with half of the seaborne imports to the U.S., with vital quantities of agriculture merchandise and automobile imports, in addition to equipment, fabricated metal and precision instrument imports within the stability. These ports are additionally vital hubs for exports of U.S. agricultural and pharmaceutical merchandise.

FOX Enterprise’ Aislinn Murphy contributed to this report.

TAGGED:absorbCoastEastGulfimportPortportsstrikevolumesWest
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