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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > New Social Safety COLA launch date confirmed amid authorities shutdown
Economy

New Social Safety COLA launch date confirmed amid authorities shutdown

Editorial Board Published October 15, 2025
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New Social Safety COLA launch date confirmed amid authorities shutdown
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Social Safety Administration Commissioner Frank Bisignano particulars efforts to fight waste, fraud and abuse on ‘The Bottom Line.’

The announcement of Social Safety’s annual inflation adjustment to advantages has been delayed because of the authorities shutdown, however the company accountable for dealing with the profit improve has set a date for releasing the info subsequent week.

Social Safety advantages endure a cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) yearly, which updates profit quantities to account for inflation during the last yr. The scale of the annual COLA is decided by the rise within the client worth index (CPI) over the prior yr.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the CPI on a month-to-month foundation to gauge how a lot greater inflation has pushed client costs. Nevertheless, the September CPI knowledge that was purported to be launched Oct. 15 and full the COLA calculation was delayed by the federal government shutdown.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the CPI on a month-to-month foundation to gauge how a lot greater inflation has pushed client costs. (Frederic J. Brown/AFP through Getty Photographs)

The BLS introduced that it recalled some employees who have been furloughed because of the authorities shutdown to finish the CPI report and permit the COLA to be launched. The BLS will now launch the September CPI on Friday, Oct. 24, whereas the Social Safety Administration will announce the 2026 COLA the identical day.

SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFICIARIES EXPECTED TO GET BIGGER COST-OF-LIVING ADJUSTMENT IN 2026

Social Security Benefits

Social Safety’s COLA for 2026 is estimated at 2.7% to 2.8%. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Photographs)

Consultants anticipate that the 2026 COLA will elevate Social Safety recipients’ profit funds by greater than the two.5% COLA that was carried out for 2025.

The Senior Residents League estimated final month that the COLA for 2026 can be 2.7%, which might elevate the typical month-to-month profit for retired employees by $54 from $2,009 to $2,062.

TSCL famous that its estimate is greater than what was projected on the outset of this yr, when it estimated there can be a 2.1% COLA, as a result of “inflation is substantially higher” than its mannequin anticipated.

TAX CHANGES WILL MAKE SOCIAL SECURITY GO INSOLVENT SOONER THAN PREVIOUS ESTIMATE

Shoppers at a Publix grocery store in Georgia.

Social Safety’s COLA adjusts advantages to account for inflation pushing client costs greater. (Jeffrey Greenberg/Common Photographs Group through Getty Photographs)

The group additionally famous {that a} 2.7% COLA can be about common from a historic standpoint, because the annual profit changes have averaged 2.6% during the last 20 years. The very best COLA of that interval was 8.7% in 2023, whereas the bottom have been in 2010 and 2011 when the COLA was zero.

The nonpartisan Committee for a Accountable Federal Funds (CRFB) developed its personal forecast for Social Safety’s 2026 COLA, which estimates the annual inflation adjustment can be barely greater at 2.8%.

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