Kevin PeltonMay 25, 2025, 08:00 AM ET
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Co-author, Professional Basketball Prospectus sequence
Previously a advisor with the Indiana Pacers
Developed WARP score and SCHOENE system
NBA free company received’t be the marquee a part of this summer season’s offseason. A sequence of extensions have taken a few of the greatest potential names off the market, together with Jimmy Butler III, who prolonged after being traded to the Golden State Warriors on the deadline.
There are a handful of all-time greats who can turn into free brokers relying on participant choices, led by LeBron James. However these gamers, together with fellow former MVP James Harden and nine-time All-Star Kyrie Irving, have already got made their method to desired locations and are unlikely to alter groups.
The mix of extensions and contract will increase outpacing the wage cap’s modest progress lately additionally means few groups can have cap area accessible. As ESPN’s Bobby Marks has been monitoring, solely the rebuilding Brooklyn Nets can have max-level cap area, and it’s attainable no different workforce can spend appreciably greater than the non-taxpayer midlevel exception (projected at $14 million).
Nonetheless, groups can have the flexibility to fill wants with focused free agent signings. Final summer season, the Detroit Pistons nabbed Malik Beasley on a one-year, $6 million deal and watched him end second in Sixth Man of the 12 months voting as a part of their playoff return. Simply behind Beasley within the voting was Ty Jerome of the Cavaliers, added in free company for simply over the minimal previous to his breakout that was key to Cleveland ending atop the Japanese Convention. Each gamers are amongst a deep group of top-tier reserves or lower-end starters who will outline this summer season’s free company interval, which formally begins June 30 at 6 p.m. ET.
Let’s run by means of my prime 25 gamers, cut up into tiers based mostly on their standing and availability, with a particular give attention to a handful of key free brokers reminiscent of Jerome who realistically could possibly be on the transfer this summer season.
Tier 1: All-Stars with choices unlikely to maneuver
1. LeBron JamesLos Angeles Lakers | FPlayer choice
A participant choice offers each James and the Lakers monetary flexibility this summer season. After taking barely lower than the max final offseason to assist the Lakers keep away from second-apron restrictions, James might re-sign for extra by declining his $52.6 million participant choice. On the flip aspect, one other James low cost may permit the Lakers entry to their non-taxpayer midlevel exception in the event that they need to goal a beginning large man. Nonetheless a simple All-NBA decide at age 40, James clearly stays the highest free agent available on the market, having led these rankings in (deep breath) 2010, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2018 and final 12 months.
2. James HardenLA Clippers | PGPlayer choice
The opposite potential free agent who earned All-NBA honors, Harden additionally signed a “one plus one” deal final summer season with a participant choice on the second season. He has an opportunity to extend his wage after signing for significantly lower than the max. Harden’s participant choice would pay him $36.3 million. Alternatively, Harden, 35, might decline the choice in pursuit of an extended take care of a decrease beginning wage that may maintain him underneath contract by means of his late 30s. Both manner, Harden appears certain to stay with the Clippers after discovering his manner dwelling to L.A. and main an overachieving effort within the common season.
3. Kyrie IrvingDallas Mavericks | PGPlayer choice
Irving appeared in line to enhance his $43 million participant choice on a long-term deal earlier than struggling a left ACL tear in March that sophisticated his rapid future. Given Irving will probably miss the majority of the 2025-26 common season, it’s attainable he might simply train the participant choice and revisit negotiations as soon as wholesome. Alternatively, the Mavericks may nonetheless decide to Irving after basic supervisor Nico Harrison made his paramount significance clear within the wake of the Luka Doncic commerce. Earlier than the harm, Irving was enjoying in addition to ever, and at 33, he’s a bit youthful than the opposite two All-Stars forward of him on this checklist.
4. Julius RandleMinnesota Timberwolves | PFPlayer choice
After some early rising pains, Randle’s robust near the common season and his monster first two playoff rounds have been key to the Timberwolves returning to the Western Convention finals. Wrapping up an extension he signed with the New York Knicks in 2021, Randle has a $29.5 million participant choice that he has outperformed. Minnesota and Randle have a number of choices for tips on how to deal with it. He might decline the choice and signal a long-term deal in free company or train it along with one other extension, which might give the Timberwolves extra spending energy as they take care of two different free brokers in my prime 25 (Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Naz Reid).
5. Fred VanVleetHouston Rockets | PGTeam choice
Not like the opposite gamers on this tier, VanVleet’s choice 12 months is on the Rockets’ discretion as a part of a three-year max deal he signed with Houston two summers in the past. Given how effectively VanVleet has match with a Rockets workforce that earned the No. 2 seed within the West, declining the choice and letting him stroll would make no sense. With the posh tax changing into an element, nonetheless, Houston may need to change VanVleet’s $44.9 million choice with a smaller beginning wage on a longer-term contract for the 31-year-old level guard.
Tier 2: Confirmed starter in his prime
6. Myles TurnerIndiana Pacers | CUnrestricted free agent
Right here’s the place this 12 months’s free company actually comes up brief. Turner is arguably the one high quality starter accessible who has by no means been an All-Star, and he’s nonetheless in the midst of his profession, at age 29. Turner’s indispensable position for an Indiana workforce that has reached the previous two convention finals offers him important leverage as an unrestricted free agent.
“With how the playoffs have gone,” a scout mentioned, “he’s cemented his place there. They just don’t have a replacement for him.”
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The Pacers will need to watch out with Turner’s beginning wage. Indiana will enter free company about $20 million from the projected luxurious tax line with 12 gamers underneath contract, and Turner ought to command greater than that after making $19.9 million this season.
Doable matches: Turner has featured in commerce rumors so lengthy that he has been linked to simply about each workforce in want of a beginning heart. An indication-and-trade could be sophisticated for the Warriors and the Lakers, however each franchises are clear matches within the unlikely occasion the Pacers and Turner can’t strike a deal.
Tier 3: Starter-caliber RFAs
7. Josh GiddeyChicago Bulls | PGRestricted free agent
After the Bulls traded Zach LaVine, Giddey was unbelievable statistically following the All-Star break, averaging 21.2 factors, 10.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists per sport whereas taking pictures 50% from the sector and 46% on 3s. (Though that degree of 3-point taking pictures probably isn’t sustainable, Giddey hit a career-high 38% for the common season, altering how opponents defend him.)
Not 23 till October, Giddey has time to proceed growing his sport to the purpose the place he could make an even bigger playoff impression than we noticed with the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder through the 2024 playoffs. As a result of few groups have cap area, Chicago ought to have leverage in negotiations. Whether or not the Bulls use it’s one other query.
8. Quentin GrimesPhiladelphia 76ers | G/FRestricted free agent
Like Giddey, Grimes jumped after the All-Star break, on this case due to a commerce to a Sixers workforce enjoying with out stars Paul George, Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey on account of accidents. Grimes averaged 21.9 PPG on robust effectivity (.592 true taking pictures share) in 28 video games with Philadelphia, plus 4.5 APG and 5.2 RPG. Philadelphia shifting as much as No. 3 within the draft lottery sophisticated the workforce’s skill to re-sign Grimes with out pushing into the second apron. Together with choices and non-guarantees, the 76ers will enter free company across the luxurious tax line earlier than re-signing Grimes or fellow restricted free agent Guerschon Yabusele.
Doable matches: May Grimes be a goal for the Nets? At 25, he’s younger sufficient to be a part of the subsequent aggressive Brooklyn workforce. If not the Nets, Grimes’ market would both be on the non-taxpayer midlevel or through a sign-and-trade deal. For instance, relying on how rapidly the Charlotte Hornets need to enhance, Grimes could be an enormous improve.
9. Jonathan KumingaGolden State Warriors | FRestricted free agent
After beginning the playoffs out of coach Steve Kerr’s rotation, Kuminga turned a key participant with Stephen Curry sidelined towards the Timberwolves within the second spherical. Kuminga averaged 24.3 PPG over the sequence’ remaining 4 video games, taking pictures 55% from the sector.
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At 22, Kuminga ought to turn into a extra constant contributor over time. However that’s most likely extra probably with a workforce in addition to the Warriors given the way in which Kuminga’s talent set overlaps with these of Butler and Draymond Inexperienced. And it’s attainable Golden State could possibly be open to a sign-and-trade deal to rebalance the roster. “The best thing that happens to him is if they sign-and-trade him,” one scout mentioned.
Doable matches: As with each restricted free agent, Brooklyn looms massive. If the Nets imagine in Kuminga, they’ve the flexibility to form their roster round him. The Bulls might attempt to put collectively a sign-and-trade, maybe sending Nikola Vucevic to the Warriors and inserting Kuminga in a task just like the one DeMar DeRozan as soon as performed within the Windy Metropolis.
10. Keon EllisSacramento Kings | GTeam choice
Ellis averaged simply 8.3 PPG this previous season (a profession excessive) however was quietly a favourite of superior stats because of his 3-point taking pictures (43% on 5.9 makes an attempt per 36 minutes) and robust inventory fee (2.2 steals and 1.2 blocks per 36). A daily starter late within the season with Malik Monk sidelined, Ellis averaged 28.2 minutes per sport after the All-Star break and was Sacramento’s main point-of-attack defender. The Kings maintain a $2.3 million workforce choice for Ellis however may need to decline it so he’ll be a restricted free agent somewhat than unrestricted in 2026.
Tier 4: Getting old starters
11. Dorian Finney-SmithLos Angeles Lakers | FPlayer choice
At 32, Finney-Smith is younger for this tier however not fairly a match alongside Turner as one of many prime unrestricted free brokers. Though Finney-Smith got here off the bench in additional than half of his video games with the Lakers following a December commerce, he nonetheless averaged starter’s minutes (28.8 per sport) and was inconceivable for coach JJ Redick to take off the courtroom within the playoffs. The Lakers could be hard-pressed to interchange Finney-Smith and can need to determine a long-term contract, maybe having him decline a $15.4 million participant choice in favor of a smaller beginning wage that ensures him a number of years.
12. Brook LopezMilwaukee Bucks | CUnrestricted free agent
Having turned 37 in April, Lopez has slowed as a rim protector, an element within the Bucks taking him out of the beginning lineup for the primary time since March 2022 throughout Sport 5 of their first-round loss to the Pacers. However his 31.8 MPG within the common season have been his most in practically a decade, and Lopez missed simply two video games all season whereas taking pictures his typical 37% from 3-point vary. If Milwaukee strikes on for monetary causes, Lopez ought to have a powerful midlevel market. Scouts anticipate some regression from Lopez however nonetheless see a succesful beginning heart in most matchups.
Doable matches: If the Pelicans are attempting to win now and dedicated to Zion Williamson — two large ifs — Lopez could be an excellent frontcourt associate and take strain to carry out off growing facilities Yves Missi and Karlo Matkovic. The Warriors might attempt to convey the previous Stanford large man again to the Bay Space, both through sign-and-trade or opening up their nontaxpayer midlevel.
13. Chris PaulSan Antonio Spurs | PGUnrestricted free agent
Paul, at age 39, was considered one of six NBA gamers to start out all 82 video games this previous season. (He has since turned 40.) Though Paul’s 8.8 PPG have been a profession low, he nonetheless ranked within the 82nd percentile in factors per direct likelihood amongst gamers who obtained at the least 1,000 on-ball screens, in keeping with GeniusIQ monitoring. With the Spurs probably so as to add one other ball handler in Rutgers guard Dylan Harper with the No. 2 draft decide, Paul could be on the transfer once more this summer season.
14. Al HorfordBoston Celtics | F/CUnrestricted free agent
Approaching his thirty ninth birthday, Horford stays a linchpin for the Celtics along with his versatility at each ends. Horford’s enjoying time went up this season to 27.7 MPG — and 31.6 within the playoffs — although Boston protected him with copious off video games. The most important query is how lengthy Horford desires to play. “For me, it’s just too soon to talk about that,” he mentioned at exit interviews after the Celtics have been upset by the Knicks within the second spherical. “I’m going to take some time here with my wife, with my kids, and just that. It hasn’t even been a day. So, there’s still a lot for me to process.”
Tier 5: Prime reserves and fringe starters
15. Ty JeromeCleveland Cavaliers | GUnrestricted free agent
Having averaged double-figure scoring simply as soon as in his first 5 NBA seasons for a rebuilding Thunder workforce, Jerome got here largely out of nowhere to complete third in Sixth Man of the 12 months voting. Jerome averaged 12.5 PPG in simply 19.9 minutes, coming near 50-40-90 taking pictures. (He fell brief by 4 missed free throws, in 148 makes an attempt, ending at 87%.) Jerome then scored 28 factors in Cleveland’s playoff opener earlier than his fortunes modified in Spherical 2 in a key position with Darius Garland sidelined to start the sequence.
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Jerome shot 30% from the sector and 4-of-16 on 3s towards the Pacers, falling to the fringes of coach Kenny Atkinson’s rotation.
With the Cavaliers in a cap crunch, re-signing Jerome may not be a precedence. Jerome, within the eyes of scouts, unquestionably will get a hefty elevate from the $2.5 million he made this season.
Doable matches: Jerome could possibly be a worth addition for a workforce in want of offense. I notably like the concept of the Orlando Magic making a run at Jerome in the event that they’re in a position to transfer backup level guard Cole Anthony. Relying on how Harden’s participant choice works out, the Clippers might make the most of their non-tax midlevel on Jerome.
16. Malik BeasleyDetroit Pistons | SGUnrestricted free agent
After enjoying on smaller, one-year contracts over the previous two seasons, Beasley has earned a elevate. He completed second in Sixth Man of the 12 months voting by becoming a member of Curry, Harden, Anthony Edwards and Klay Thompson because the fifth participant in NBA historical past to make 300 3-pointers in a season. Now that Cade Cunningham has triggered a 30% max extension by being named an All-NBAer, the Pistons probably received’t have cap area to make use of for re-signing Beasley, which most likely will restrict them to the non-tax midlevel as a place to begin for a brand new deal. However few groups have the cap area to beat that provide. He’s anticipated to get a elevate on the $6 million he made this previous season.
17. Naz ReidMinnesota Timberwolves | F/CPlayer choice
A 12 months faraway from being named Sixth Man of the 12 months, Reid really averaged extra factors, rebounds and assists this season, albeit on barely weaker effectivity. Reid has had a serious impression as a 3rd large man, however he most likely could be stretched defensively as a starter. That and the dearth of cap area ought to assist the Timberwolves navigate Reid’s $15 million participant choice. The edges might conform to train the choice then construct a long-term extension off it to maintain the fan favourite in Minnesota.
18. Caris LeVertAtlanta Hawks | G/FUnrestricted free agent
After enjoying a smaller position in Cleveland this previous season due partly to Jerome’s emergence, LeVert was dealt to Atlanta in February because the Cavaliers added De’Andre Hunter on the deadline. LeVert was productive for the Hawks as they reached the play-in match, averaging 14.9 PPG and ending with far and away the most effective true taking pictures share (.582) of his profession. LeVert additionally has developed into a top quality perimeter defender, utilizing his size at 6-foot-6.
19. Gary Trent Jr.Milwaukee Bucks | G/FUnrestricted free agent
Trent tried to comply with Beasley’s lead, taking a minimal take care of the Bucks after discovering his market restricted in free company. Trent was dreadful because the Bucks began slowly and misplaced his beginning job, however he rebounded to shoot 42% on 3s whereas trying 8.2 per 36 minutes. Trent then went for 30-plus factors twice within the first spherical towards the Pacers, making a mixed 17 treys in these video games. At 26, Trent is squarely in his prime, and a few workforce ought to discover the pleased medium between the $18.6 million he made with the Toronto Raptors and this previous season’s minimal deal.
20. Santi AldamaMemphis Grizzlies | FRestricted free agent
Enjoying each ahead spots, Aldama averaged profession highs in factors (12.5), rebounds (6.4) and assists (2.9) primarily off the bench this previous season. He shot a career-high 37% from 3-point vary and 60% contained in the arc. Aldama may prime out as a 3rd ahead, however he has earned a extra profitable contract after making $10 million whole on his four-year rookie deal as the ultimate first-round decide in 2021.
21. Nickeil Alexander-WalkerMinnesota Timberwolves | GUnrestricted free agent
A screaming worth on a two-year, $9 million deal signed as a restricted free agent two years in the past, Alexander-Walker is in line for a giant elevate. He averaged a career-high 25.3 MPG because the Timberwolves’ third guard, defending lead ball handlers and taking pictures 38% from 3-point vary. Alexander-Walker isn’t fairly adequate as a distributor to function a full-time level guard, and he has slumped past the arc within the playoffs, however he ought to greater than double his earlier wage.
22. Chris BoucherToronto Raptors | FUnrestricted free agent
Boucher quietly bounced again from a down 2023-24 marketing campaign to common double-figure scoring for the second time in his profession whereas enjoying simply 17.2 MPG. He shot 36% on 3s and 63% on 2s in producing elite effectivity whereas additionally proving able to defending on the wing in large second-unit lineups. At 32, he most likely belongs on a contending workforce, however Boucher, who went to highschool in Quebec, is at dwelling with the Raptors because the lone remaining participant from the 2019 title workforce.
23. Tim Hardaway Jr.Detroit Pistons | G/FUnrestricted free agent
Regardless of beginning all 77 video games he performed, Hardaway certainly wasn’t as essential to Detroit’s shock playoff season as Beasley was off the bench. Hardaway’s effectivity was solely common within the smallest utilization fee (15.5%) of his profession. Nonetheless, Hardaway was a dependable veteran able to toggling forwards and backwards between the wing spots, and the Pistons appear more likely to reward him with a brand new contract.
24. Dennis SchroderDetroit Pistons | GUnrestricted free agent
An atypical season noticed Schroder common double figures for 3 totally different groups. He began the marketing campaign on fireplace for the Nets, making 39% of his 3s, and completed enjoying an essential reserve position for the Pistons within the playoffs. In between, Schroder proved a poor match for the Warriors’ motion-based offense. Having performed for 9 groups in 12 NBA seasons, Schroder could possibly be on the transfer once more if Detroit looks like Jaden Ivey‘s return means much less want for ballhandling off the bench.
25. Tyus JonesPhoenix Suns | PGUnrestricted free agent
Including Jones on a minimal contract didn’t show the coup the Suns had hoped for final summer season. He produced as anticipated, taking pictures 41% on 3-pointers and posting his typical excessive assist-to-turnover (4.7), but he couldn’t assist Phoenix’s offense ship on its potential. For all their expertise, the Suns have been barely higher than league common in offensive score, and Jones began simply 4 video games after the All-Star break. He may have to signal one other short-term contract to rebuild his worth. One fascinating choice: May Jones return to his hometown Timberwolves if Alexander-Walker heads elsewhere?
ESPN’s Tim Bontemps contributed to this story.
