As California voters head to the polls on Tuesday, Democrats are monitoring extra than simply the outcomes: They’re bracing for the chance that Rep. Nancy Pelosi would possibly depart Congress.
Pelosi makes her strategy to a gathering on Capitol Hill in 2013.
Her timing is intently tied to a poll measure, Proposition 50, which might redraw California’s congressional districts. Pelosi has been a vocal champion of the plan, which Democrats hope will assist them internet further seats in subsequent yr’s midterm elections.
A number of Democratic sources advised NBC that they consider she is not going to run for reelection in 2026 after practically 4 many years representing San Francisco.
“I wish she would stay for 10 more years,” one Home Democrat from California mentioned. “I think she’s out. She’s going to go out with Prop 50 overwhelmingly passing, and what a crowning achievement for her to do that.”
Pelosi’s potential departure comes at a second when Democrats nationally are calling for youthful candidates to step ahead and for older leaders to go the torch.
If she does step apart, it might mark the top of a congressional period—one outlined by her unmatched ability as a “legislative strategist, vote counter, and fundraiser” and because the first lady to function Home speaker.
Her exit would additionally open a fiercely aggressive race for her seat. Among the many challengers are Saikat Chakrabarti, the previous chief of employees to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York; and state Sen. Scott Wiener, who was first elected in 2016. Each have launched rebel campaigns in opposition to the backdrop of Pelosi’s formidable fundraising benefit: greater than $2 million raised this cycle and a $1.5 million battle chest, based on marketing campaign filings.

Pelosi tears up her copy of President Donald Trump’s State of the Union tackle in February 2020.
And Pelosi has hinted at leaving.
In keeping with NBC, at a latest California Democratic delegation assembly on Capitol Hill, she joked that she seemed ahead to seeing Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries sworn in as the primary Black speaker of the Home “if I’m still allowed on the floor.”
“I think she’s preparing to exit the stage,” a Home Democratic management aide advised NBC. “We will not fully appreciate the time we have spent with her” till she’s gone.
Equally, Bay Space political insiders say the indicators more and more level towards her stepping apart.
“Most people think it is highly unlikely that she will run for another term,” one native Democratic official mentioned.
In response to Each day Kos’ request for remark relating to Pelosi’s future, spokesperson Ian Krager referred to a previous social media put up by which he declined to handle whether or not she would search a twentieth full time period in Congress.
“Speaker Pelosi is fully focused on her mission to win the Yes on 50 election in CA. Any discussion of her future plans beyond that mission is pure speculation,” Krager posted on X. “As she has said, Speaker Pelosi will not make any announcements about her future until after Prop 50 is settled.”
Pelosi herself echoed that sentiment in a latest interview with the San Francisco Examiner, saying she wouldn’t resolve on reelection till after Tuesday’s vote.

Pelosi speaks throughout a marketing campaign occasion on Proposition 50 in San Francisco on Nov. 3.
“Here’s the thing: We must win the House. If you talk about ‘no kings,’ we must win the House to put a stop to this. We won’t be able to get many things done, but we’ll be able to stop a lot of the poison that he’s putting there, and the best antidote to poison is to win the election,” she mentioned. “There’s a lot riding on this because this is the path to our winning the House. We will win the House regardless, but winning it big, and we want to win Nov. 4 big.”
In the meantime, colleagues have praised Pelosi as a historic determine who reworked Congress.
“Nancy Pelosi is a stateswoman who, as they say about Lincoln, belongs to the ages,” progressive Rep. Ro Khanna, a fellow Bay Space Democrat, advised NBC. “Generations to come will be reading about her contributions to America.”
However even in her strongly liberal district, Pelosi has often clashed with progressives over her lengthy tenure.
Whether or not Pelosi retires or runs for reelection, her choice will come as Democrats wrestle with broader questions, like the best way to counter Trump and the GOP and the way—and when—to make room for the subsequent era of management.