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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Politics > How Trump’s tariffs might have an effect on Nike and its manufacturing unit employees
Politics

How Trump’s tariffs might have an effect on Nike and its manufacturing unit employees

Editorial Board Published May 12, 2025
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How Trump’s tariffs might have an effect on Nike and its manufacturing unit employees
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“We build long-term relationships with our contract manufacturing suppliers because we know having trust and mutual respect supports our ability to create product more responsibly, accelerate innovation and better serve consumers,” the assertion stated.

The place does Nike make sneakers and clothes?

Nike doesn’t personal or function the abroad factories that make its merchandise. As an alternative, it really works with 532 contract producers that make use of practically 1.2 million employees, in accordance with an on-line Nike map.

No nation is extra essential to Nike’s manufacturing than Vietnam, the place the model works with 131 factories that make use of practically 460,000 employees. Half of Nike’s sneakers have been made in Vietnam final 12 months, in accordance with the corporate’s annual report.

Nike’s second-largest manufacturing base is Indonesia, the place its 45 contract factories make use of greater than 280,000 employees.

The corporate has been transferring manufacturing out of China during the last decade. It really works with 120 Chinese language contract factories that make use of greater than 100,000 employees — down from greater than 350,000 employees in 2012. A number of the footwear and attire that Nike makes in China is offered to Chinese language customers and subsequently not topic to tariffs.

Are tariffs affecting Nike?

Sure. On April 2, Trump introduced “reciprocal” tariffs that included 46% on Vietnam, 32% on Indonesia and 34% on China. The following buying and selling day, Nike’s shares fell 14%, wiping out $14 billion in shareholder worth.


An worker scans shoe containers on the Nike retailer on New York’s fifth Avenue on April 7.

Per week later, the president paused a lot of the tariffs for 90 days, however a 145% tariff on imports from China and a ten% surcharge on most imports from different international locations stay in place.

Tom Nikic, a veteran trade analyst at Needham & Co., calculated that the tariffs, if absolutely carried out, would practically wipe out Nike’s earnings if the corporate made no adjustments to its present pricing or manufacturing.

Will Nike squeeze factories for higher offers?

“Almost certainly,” stated Jason Judd, govt director of the World Labor Institute at Cornell College. “The default for a brand or retailer faced with a tariff or some other shock is to press suppliers for discounts.”

“The COVID shock is a good example,” Judd added. “We know from talking to suppliers that the COVID shock meant canceled orders and renegotiations over price.”

The Employee Rights Consortium, a labor monitoring group, estimated manufacturers canceled $40 billion in orders in the course of the pandemic.

When Trump introduced tariffs throughout his first administration, Nike’s high executives stated they’d discover financial savings of their provide chain.

“We have a lot of levers we can work with, from sourcing to other levers,” Andy Campion, then Nike’s chief monetary officer, stated in 2019.

How will tariffs have an effect on Nike’s manufacturing unit employees?

Manufacturing unit employees will possible really feel the affect straight.

Dara O’Rourke, an affiliate professor on the College of California, Berkeley, who’s studied wages in Nike factories, stated the tariffs might grow to be a “huge hammer.”

“It is likely that you will see this kind of pressure from managers to say to workers, ‘For a period of time, we’re going to have to work harder and longer,’” he stated. “Hold the line or you’re going to lose your job.”

That would imply employees are requested to make extra sneakers and T-shirts each shift and work longer hours, in accordance with Thulsi Narayanasamy, director of worldwide advocacy for the Employee Rights Consortium.

**ADVANCE FOR SUNDAY, APRIL 24** Vietnamese workers put the finishing touches on a production line making athletic shoes at the Nike factory on the outskirts of Ho Chi Minh City, formerly Saigon Feb. 22, 2005. Drawn to Vietnam a decade ago, Nike, the country's single largest private employer with some 130,000 employees, produces some US$700 million worth of footwear from Vietnam, making it the third largest supplier behind China and Indonesia. Vietnam churns out IKEA housewares, Victoria's Secret lingerie, Gap clothing and Nike tennis shoes for the world, about US$6 billion in exports went to the U.S. market alone. The legacy of a wartime pariah teetering on the edge of near-economic collapse has been all but forgotten in the headlong rush to secure a competitive slot in the global race. (AP Photo/Richard Vogel)
Vietnamese employees make footwear on the Nike manufacturing unit on the outskirts of Ho Chi Minh Metropolis, Vietnam, in Feb. 2005.

Narayanasamy stated manufacturers like Nike have a alternative: “Push costs that they could reasonably absorb onto their suppliers, replete with the knowledge that doing so will immediately harm millions of factory workers, or not.”

In its assertion, Nike stated it units clear labor expectations for provider factories in its Code of Conduct and Code Management Requirements.

Overseas garment employees might additionally face furloughs or work with out pay, stated Cornell’s Judd. That occurred throughout the trade in the course of the pandemic.

In 2021, the Employee Rights Consortium recognized 31 garment factories — three of which did work for Nike — that the consortium stated didn’t pay $39.8 million in severance advantages owed to 37,637 employees who misplaced jobs in the course of the pandemic.

Nike beforehand has disputed that it owed wages to employees on the three factories named within the labor group’s report. In its assertion, Nike additionally stated factories are chargeable for severance advantages.

“Manufacturing suppliers hold the financial obligation to pay worker severance, social security and other separation benefits to impacted employees in accordance with local law and Nike’s Code of Conduct,” the corporate stated. “And in the event of any closure or divest, Nike works closely with the supplier to conduct a responsible exit.”

Will tariffs drive Nike to maneuver manufacturing again to the U.S.?

“To think this will bring jobs back to the U.S. is poorly thought out, would be the nicest thing I could say,” stated Berkeley’s O’Rourke.

Footwear and attire manufacturing stays labor-intensive. Sneakers require gluing and stitching. T-shirts require stitching. Efforts to automate shoe manufacturing have largely flopped.

That’s a part of the explanation Nike makes most of its merchandise in international locations with low wages. ProPublica reported this month on a former Nike manufacturing unit in Cambodia the place most staff made the minimal wage — about $1 per hour.

Nike additionally makes use of large factories which might be full of gear that’s troublesome to switch to a brand new location. They’re typically positioned close to supplies firms that make the rubbers, nylons and polyesters wanted to make sneakers.

“The full production system is not easily movable,” O’Rourke stated.

As an alternative of transferring the work again to the U.S., trade watchers anticipate attire firms will proceed to fabricate merchandise in international locations with low wages, however manufacturing will shift to these topic to much less onerous tariffs.

That would additional hurt employees in Vietnam, Indonesia, China and different international locations with comparatively excessive proposed tariff charges and numerous Nike manufacturing jobs. In Indonesia, for instance, one labor union expects as many as 50,000 employees might lose their jobs if the total Trump tariffs go into impact.

Because the variety of folks on the lookout for work will increase, wages in these international locations will lower.

“The line at the gate to find work gets longer,” Judd stated. “And that means employers of any kind can start paying new workers less because unemployment has jumped.”

What might tariffs imply for Nike’s costs?

Estimates fluctuate and rely on how a lot of the fee Nike passes to customers.

If the 46% tariff on Vietnam goes into impact, the worth of a $155 sneaker made in Vietnam would improve to $220, in accordance with the Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America, a commerce group that counts Nike as a member.

The instance, which isn’t particular to Nike, assumes the importing firm passes practically the entire tariff value to prospects. No athletic footwear model has given specifics, though Adidas CEO Bjørn Gulden final week stated “higher tariffs will eventually cause price increases.”

However Nike’s been in a hunch and has been discounting a lot of its sneakers to spice up gross sales.

It’s potential that Nike will soak up extra of the tariff value to keep away from elevating costs too steeply.

“It will likely be hard for Nike to raise prices,” the funding financial institution UBS not too long ago wrote in a analysis observe.

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