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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Economy > How Trump’s tariffs may have an effect on the worth of well-liked meals
Economy

How Trump’s tariffs may have an effect on the worth of well-liked meals

Editorial Board Published February 3, 2025
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How Trump’s tariffs may have an effect on the worth of well-liked meals
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O’Leary Ventures Chairman Kevin O’Leary joins ‘Fox & Pals’ to debate his dialog with President Donald Trump concerning the tariffs on Canada and Mexico and Elon Musk’s declare the U.S. Treasury accredited fraudulent funds.

A swath of meals will probably be impacted by sweeping tariffs the U.S. is inserting on main buying and selling companions in an effort to curb the circulation of medication and unlawful immigrants into the nation, in accordance with specialists. 

With grocery retailers already working on razor-thin revenue margins – usually starting from 1% to five% – such companies could also be inclined to move prices on to prospects, in accordance with Kelly Beaton, the chief content material officer at The Meals Institute. 

Whereas tariffs on Mexican imports are suspended for one month, the U.S. remains to be following by way of on plans to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada in addition to a ten% tariff on imports from China in response to the “threat posed by illegal aliens and drugs, including deadly fentanyl,” the White Home mentioned in an announcement. 

TRUMP TARIFFS TAKE EFFECT SATURDAY: WHAT TO KNOW

Canada retaliated with a 25% levy on U.S. imports that will take impact on Tuesday, and the Chinese language authorities, which can be difficult Trump’s transfer, plans to take “respective countermeasures to reliably defend its rights and interests,” in accordance with studies. 

A buyer outlets at a grocery retailer on Feb. 13, 2024, in Chicago. (Scott Olson / Getty Pictures)

When tariffs are carried out, together with ones pending in opposition to Mexico, the institute mentioned that meals and beverage merchandise “will soon cost more,” in accordance with Beaton, who referenced Mexican avocados, Mexican beers from manufacturers like Modelo and Corona, Canadian maple syrup and Canadian grain as examples. 

She additionally added that the “consensus seems to be that cereal could also soon cost more in America, since it’s a common import from all three countries that Trump has targeted with tariffs.” 

TRUMP’S PROPOSED TARIFFS COULD DRIVE UP FOOD PRICES, EXPERTS SAY

There will probably be an impression on imported dairy, meat and varied greens too, although it is exhausting to pinpoint what that can seem like, specialists say.

The U.S. will get a major quantity of its hogs and beef imports from Canada, so there “will undoubtedly” be greater prices tied to importing these animals and can doubtless result in greater costs for beef and pork in America, Beaton mentioned. In 2022, the U.S. imported greater than $37 billion price of agricultural merchandise from Canada, in accordance with the U.S. Agriculture Division.

grocery store

A consumer inside a grocery retailer in San Francisco on Might 2, 2022. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg by way of / Getty Pictures)

Sylvain Charlebois, professor and senior director of the Agri-Meals Analytics Lab, additionally highlighted the menace to meat costs given how reliant the U.S. is on Canada for such merchandise, particularly beef and pork. 

“Canada is a key supplier to the U.S. meat market, and any added costs from tariffs could push up prices for American consumers,” Charlebois mentioned, including that the U.S. is already struggling to keep up beef provide because of drought and manufacturing points. 

Proscribing Canadian imports will solely “tighten the market further and contribute to inflation in this category,” Charlebois added. 

There additionally could also be “noticeable price increases” for seafood, notably lobster and snow crab, particularly in coastal areas the place Canadian seafood is widespread. Shops could also be compelled to hunt various sources, which may end in both greater costs for shoppers, or they might in the reduction of on stock, Charlebois mentioned. 

However recent produce can be in danger. As an example, greenhouse-grown greens from Canada, reminiscent of tomatoes, peppers and cucumbers play a major function in U.S. grocery provide, notably throughout colder months. 

woman grocery shopping

A consumer inside a Greenback Common Market retailer in Saddlebrook, New Jersey, on Feb. 29, 2024. (Gabby Jones/Bloomberg by way of / Getty Pictures)

Regardless, the larger challenge, Charlebois mentioned, is that the “broader impact of these tariffs could exacerbate food inflation in the U.S.” at a time when households are already scuffling with grocery costs.

“While the full effect will depend on how retailers and suppliers respond, the tariffs are almost certain to increase costs for U.S. consumers, particularly in categories where Canada plays a crucial role in supply. This move could further strain household budgets, particularly for middle- and lower-income Americans who are already dealing with rising costs of living,” Charlebois continued. 

TRUMP’S PROPOSED TARIFFS COULD DRIVE UP FOOD PRICES, EXPERTS SAY

Democrats and opponents have lengthy argued that the price of the tariffs would simply be handed on to American shoppers. Over the previous a number of months, many retailers have raised considerations concerning the prospect of tariffs pumping up the prices of their merchandise and even forcing them to chop again on stock. 

Trump mentioned in a social media submit on Sunday that there may “be some pain” for Individuals however that “it will all be worth the price that must be paid.” 

The White Home mentioned in an announcement that the levies are a tactic for Trump “to hold Mexico, Canada, and China accountable to their promises of halting illegal immigration and stopping poisonous fentanyl and other drugs from flowing into our country.”  

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The tariffs are sending a message “that the flow of contraband drugs like fentanyl to the United States, through illicit distribution networks, has created a national emergency, including a public health crisis,” the White Home mentioned.

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