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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Real Estate > How excessive climate, excessive house costs might have an effect on the 2025 housing market
Real Estate

How excessive climate, excessive house costs might have an effect on the 2025 housing market

Editorial Board Published January 21, 2025
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How excessive climate, excessive house costs might have an effect on the 2025 housing market
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 ‘The Claman Countdown’ panelists Dolly Lenz and Jenny Lenz analyze high locations People wish to stay.

The U.S. housing market has been hit arduous by excessive climate – from the wildfires in Southern California to the freezing chilly and snow within the Northeast, Midwest and South – at first of the brand new yr, along with the rising price of properties. 

These elements have dampened house excursions and brought on a drop in pending gross sales through the 4 weeks ending on Jan. 12, in line with the true property brokerage agency Redfin. 

Nonetheless, Redfin mentioned it is nonetheless “too early in the new year to determine how 2025’s housing market will shape up.”

THESE WERE THE MOST EXPENSIVE HOMES SOLD IN 2024, ACCORDING TO REDFIN

Redfin’s Homebuyer Demand Index, which is a seasonally adjusted measure of excursions and requests for different shopping for companies from Redfin brokers, has fallen 11% month over month, notching its lowest stage since August. 

A on the market signal is displayed exterior a house on the market on Aug. 16, 2024, in Los Angeles, California. (Photograph by Patrick T. Fallon / AFP) (Photograph by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP by way of Getty Photos) / Getty Photos)

Pending house gross sales fell 8.4% yr over yr, which marked the largest decline since October 2023. New listings had their greatest annual decline since September 2023, falling 3.6% on an annual foundation. 

Lively listings rose 9.8% yr over yr, which was additionally the smallest improve in almost a yr, in line with Redfin information. 

TOP US VACATION HOME MARKETS

In the meantime, the median housing cost nationwide can also be at its highest stage in over two months. Residence costs have jumped 5.8% yr over yr and day by day common mortgage charges additionally hit their highest stage since Might final week. 

In California particularly, homebuying demand and listings within the Los Angeles metro has been dampened because of the wildfires that began earlier this month. 

PASADENA, CALIFORNIA - JANUARY 7: Homes burn as powerful winds drive the Eaton Fire on January 7, 2025 in Pasadena, California. A powerful Santa Ana wind event has dramatically raised the danger of wind-driven wildfires such as the dangerous and destructive Palisades Fire near Santa Monica. The strong winds also forced President Joe Biden to cancel his plan to travel between Los Angeles and Riverside, California. (Photo by David McNew/Getty Images)

Properties burn as highly effective winds drive the Eaton Fireplace on Jan. 7, 2025, in Pasadena, California. (David McNew/Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

In flip, Redfin mentioned it is driving up shopping for and rental demand from those that have been displaced. Particularly, Los Angeles pending gross sales fell 4% yr over yr and new listings fell 2.5% through the four-week interval ended Jan 12. Redfin does not consider this drop would have been as large if the wildfires hadn’t began. 

Redfin can also be projecting to see greater declines within the coming weeks.

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“Many Redfin agents are pivoting to helping people find rentals as soon as possible,” mentioned Susan Brown, a Los Angeles-based Redfin Premier agent. “Because rentals are going so fast, my advice for people searching for housing is to directly reach out to a real estate agent for help.”

housing

A “for sale” check in Crockett, California, on June 14, 2022.  (Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg by way of Getty Photos / Getty Photos)

The frigid temperatures and snow in different elements of the nation are additionally conserving patrons at bay. Additionally it is delaying owners from placing up their properties on the market, in line with the company.

TAGGED:affectExtremeHighHomehousingmarketpricesWeather
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