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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > World > GOP once more holds edge in social gathering affiliation: Survey
World

GOP once more holds edge in social gathering affiliation: Survey

Editorial Board Published January 16, 2025
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GOP once more holds edge in social gathering affiliation: Survey
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The Republican Get together maintained its edge over the Democrats in 2024, with extra Individuals figuring out with the GOP than with its rival political social gathering, in accordance with a ballot revealed Thursday.

The Gallup survey exhibits 46 p.c of respondents both contemplate themselves a Republican or a Republican-leaning impartial, whereas 45 p.c say they contemplate themselves a Democrat or a Democratic-leaning impartial.

The newest survey marks the third consecutive yr through which the GOP edged out the Democrats.

In 2023, 45 p.c of respondents recognized as Republican or Republican-leaning, and 43 p.c recognized as Democrat or Democratic-leaning. In 2022, 45 p.c recognized with the GOP, whereas 44 p.c recognized with the Democrats, the info exhibits.

Earlier than 2022, Republicans final held a plurality assist in 1991 — the primary yr Gallup performed the survey — when 48 p.c of Individuals recognized with the GOP and 44 p.c recognized with the Democrats.

Since then, the Democrats had both tied or been extra widespread than the GOP amongst U.S. voters till 2022. The Democrats’ largest benefit within the final 33 years got here in 2008 — the yr former President Obama was elected — when 52 p.c of Individuals recognized with the Democrats and 40 p.c recognized with Republicans, in accordance with the pollster.

The temper of the nation has additionally shifted within the final three or so a long time, however the smallest margin — with no factors separating the 2 events — got here in 2002, 2003 and 2011, when 45 p.c of respondents recognized with every social gathering.

The Gallup survey was performed all through 2024 and included phone interviews with 14,162 U.S. adults. The margin of error is 1 share level.

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