The Cook dinner Political Report on Tuesday shifted Texas’s Senate race from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican,” signaling momentum for Rep. Colin Allred’s (D) problem towards incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz (R) within the crimson state.
Jessica Taylor, the forecaster’s Senate and gubernatorial editor, stated Allred’s fundraising and advert spending, coupled with Cruz being on protection on abortion and a visit the senator took to Cancun throughout a extreme winter storm in 2021, have helped Democrats within the state.
However Taylor additionally stated the state will nonetheless be powerful for Democrats to flip in November.
Democrats have more and more set their sights on Texas, in addition to Florida, this cycle. Final week the Democratic Senatorial Marketing campaign Committee (DSCC) introduced a multimillion greenback funding in tv promoting within the two red-leaning states.
“Senate Democrats are expanding the map and going on offense,” DSCC Chair Gary Peters (D-Mich.) stated. “All cycle long the DSCC has been preparing to take advantage of Sens. Cruz and Scott’s damaged standings in their states — and now our efforts in Texas and Florida are accelerating. Democrats have strong candidates running effective campaigns in both states, and as we escalate our communications against Sens. Cruz and Scott we will crystallize the case against them.”
Total, the Senate map is tilted in Republicans’ favor, with the GOP possible solely needing to take down incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester in deep-red Montana to seize the chamber. The Hill/Determination Desk HQ forecaster predicts Republicans have a 70 % probability of successful the Senate.
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