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The Wall Street Publication > Blog > Markets > One market shift from ‘underwater’: Credit score skilled uncovers the true dangers of 50-year mortgages
Markets

One market shift from ‘underwater’: Credit score skilled uncovers the true dangers of 50-year mortgages

Editorial Board Published November 24, 2025
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One market shift from ‘underwater’: Credit score skilled uncovers the true dangers of 50-year mortgages
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When the Trump administration floated the thought of a 50-year mortgage, credit score options skilled Micah Smith didn’t mince phrases.

On paper, stretching a house mortgage over half a century guarantees decrease month-to-month funds. In actuality, Smith warns, it might entice thousands and thousands of Individuals — particularly retirees and first-time patrons — in what she calls a “risky” deal that’s “one market shift away from being completely and totally underwater.”

“My fear is that the 50-year mortgage is going to attract the unsavvy consumer, and someone who doesn’t understand how finances work and how interest works,” Smith stated. “If you are in a 50-year mortgage, it’s going to take you four times as long to build the equity in the home.”

JEFFREY GUNDLACH SAYS CRACKS FORMING IN AMERICA’S MULTITRILLION-DOLLAR PRIVATE CREDIT MARKET

“It’s going to attract a consumer that’s already struggling,” she added. “There’s going to be an even larger disparity, once again, between the wealthy and the poor. And I think the disparity is going to get even bigger with this 50-year mortgage.”

In early November, President Donald Trump and administration officers signaled plans to develop a 50-year mortgage they imagine might broaden entry to homeownership. Trump posted on Reality Social with a graphic exhibiting “Great American Presidents,” together with Franklin D. Roosevelt, whose New Deal housing reforms helped pave the way in which for the fashionable 30-year mortgage, and himself, suggesting he’ll develop a 50-year model.

Federal Housing Finance Company Director Invoice Pulte added in a publish on X that, “Thanks to President Trump, we are indeed working on The 50 year Mortgage – a complete game changer.”

Beneath present guidelines, mortgages longer than 30 years typically don’t qualify as “Qualified Mortgages” beneath the CFPB’s Means-to-Repay rule, and FHA and GSEs at the moment enable 40-year phrases just for mortgage modifications.

U.S. Federal Housing Finance Company Director William J. Pulte discusses Fed independence, Lisa Cook dinner fraud claims and President Donald Trump’s push to chop housing prices.

A UBS evaluation discovered {that a} 50-year mortgage ends in complete curiosity funds equal to roughly 225% of the house’s worth – greater than twice the extent beneath a 30-year mortgage. UBS additionally famous that with a 50-year time period, debtors would have paid down solely about 11% of the principal after 20 years, highlighting how slowly fairness builds over such an prolonged interval.

“The people that are going to be helped are going to be the people who have a plan … a substantial plan for higher income coming down the line,” Smith stated, noting that these damage most could possibly be first-time homebuyers, retirees and even army households.

“My concern is definitely going to be for the older generations, the people who are already struggling, maybe living off of Social Security … If they don’t have the ability to even fix the home that they have that they don’t own, that is extremely concerning,” she defined. “I think also for people who are perhaps in the military, I think that would also be a very scary situation because they have no ability to really build any equity whatsoever.”

AMERICAN DREAM OF HOMEOWNERSHIP SLIPPING FURTHER OUT OF REACH FOR YOUNGER GENERATIONS

“We’re already talking about first-time homebuyers in the younger generation, Generation Z, who’s coming in with a lower credit score. So if they’re jumping in at these 50-year mortgages, and they’re not coming in even at premium tiers, that’s a really scary thing,” Smith continued.

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Requested how a 50-year mortgage would possibly change the way in which she coaches purchasers on budgeting, emergency funds or residence upkeep, Smith emphasised saving as a lot as attainable earlier than shopping for.

“If you are budgeting now, you’re gonna have to get even better at budgeting,” Smith stated. “You need to be setting aside money for a rainy day … If you can just put a little bit away, a little bit away, because again, that compounding interest is critical for wealth over a significant amount of time. And as of right now, we have not had any consumers ask us about the 50-year mortgage.”

“If you are sitting here, and you are one market correction away from being underwater, I mean, that’s the biggest thing that really scares me.”

– Micah Smith

“However, I do teach realtors, investors, brokers all over the country, and they’re the ones right now who [are] actually the most appalled by it,” she claimed. “I have not heard one positive remark from one real estate agent yet … I think [there is] more of a positive response from some of the mortgage lenders, but we have to understand the narrative is going to be different depending on the motive.”

Agreeing {that a} 50-year mortgage appears like a lifetime dedication, Smith cautioned towards a tradition of instantaneous gratification and the lack of long-term considering.

“We live in a microwave society, and a lot of people fail to think about the long-term and I think that’s what gets a lot of us in trouble … The mortgage is supposed to be something where it’s like, you get it, you buy it, you pay it off, you own something.”

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“You have to look at the long-term picture if you want to be successful,” she stated. “[The 50-year mortgage] really is a recipe for disaster in the long run.”

When requested for one phrase to explain the thought as a complete, Smith didn’t hesitate: “Risky.”

“You have to do the math. You have to do the numbers. And again, you are one market shift away from being completely and totally underwater. So I think the best word for it is absolutely risky.”

READ MORE FROM FOX BUSINESS

FOX Enterprise’ Eric Revell contributed to this report.

TAGGED:50yearcreditexpertmarketmortgagesRealrisksShiftuncoversunderwater
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